Russia by herself isn't all that much of a threat. Hypothetical situation. Eastern Coalition vs NATO Since most countries involved in this Eastern coalition are essentially dictatorships short term unpopularity among their people due to Economic problems wouldn't worry the governments. (Dictatorships care about 1 thing; maintaining their government whatever the cost.) China Dumps their surplus of $1 Trillion US Dollars onto the world market, US economy collapses. China, Russia, Iran (+Venezuela) enforce an oil embargo against the Western world strangling their supplies within a very short period of time. This by itself would collapse most of the western economy. Since so much of the US Strateigic oil reserves have been opened to the public over the past few years in efforts to keep gas prices down, the military would be severly lacking needed fuel. Military options after that are up to how NATO responds. The US has always said that they will never use Nukes first. Against this coaltion NATO now has nearly no chance of winning a straight up conventional war. The US has hardly any production capability left that could be converted to war time use like in WW2 because most of it is in China now. This is the sort of way the next World War would operate. Who ends up using nukes first? The East isnt going to, they can win just with tanks and man power. Jane's take on this axis as of 2005 Shanghai Cooperation Organization - Wiki I've been studying this ever since I came back from my trip to China. North Korea is unimportant overall, it's just a distraction to be used to keep the west busy at some point. Source Watch. Cant say I've ever heard of this site before but they do list their sources.